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Many pundits are predicting doomsday scenario......the truth lies somewhere else....many corporates are going for the buyback route...many promoters are shoring up their stakes in companies....crude has started coming down.....all this augurs well for the markets....the only joker in the pack is inflation.....if we are able to tame inflation then markets will flare up...and we can even see retesting of earlier highs....since Hongkong market is showing very resilient signal and may retest its earlier high

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

Fundamentals suggest a US recession led by continued pain in financials in the US in which case viz. Scenario I: oil demand could come off. Crude could be nearabouts $100 and Rupee/inflation and interest could turn favourable.Scenario II:$ crude remains near $120 which is the clear bear case for Indian mkts. Unlikely that the pain in the US fin sector can be staved off by central bank and sovereign fund rescues, hence scenario I may likely prevail. But until decisive data come thru US data swings toward and away from a recession prognosis. Guess Indian mkts would also osscillate sharply until then. ur views ?

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In response to: Pair Trade Strategy- Buy Canara Bank and Sell Bank Of Baroda. Also cover 50-70% of your shorts for the short term.

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

Dear Mr. Dhoot,

First let me thank you for the complement. As regards RCOM, It had been an underperformer even during the major bull phase. I don't expect the stock to do much. Any upward correction in the stock should be used to exit the stock and you can switch to a much better managed company in the same space i.e Bharti Airtel. The stock will become very attractive at 600 levels. Also Bharti has always managed to outperform whenever the market moves up. Ideally, if you have been following our site, You should have not held to any of the stocks. But I can understand it is easier said than done.

Thanks and do ask your queries

In response to: Pair Trade Strategy- Buy Canara Bank and Sell Bank Of Baroda. Also cover 50-70% of your shorts for the short term.

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

Dear Mr. Kasat,

I've been reading your views on blog, they're quite impressive. Pl. help me with your study of RCOM. Why is the stock beaten up so hardly since last few days. What should be the strategy w.r.t. RCOM.

In response to: Pair Trade Strategy- Buy Canara Bank and Sell Bank Of Baroda. Also cover 50-70% of your shorts for the short term.

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

Thank you for your comment Jaideep. What I have meant by the support level is for the very short term. We had mentioned in our earlier post that it will move in the range of 3200-3700 for some time and hence we have asked to cut your shorts to the extent of 50-70% so that you can again go short at higher levels. We believe that profit booked is profit earned, rest all is on paper. We have also mentioned in our earlier post, that we are seeing a level of 2600 for the nifty before the end of the calender year.

Thanks

In response to: Pair Trade Strategy- Buy Canara Bank and Sell Bank Of Baroda. Also cover 50-70% of your shorts for the short term.

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

At this level also I don't feel the comfort in the market.Market may touch 2600-2900 level.yES the support level is 3200 and if it breaks (sensex 10000)all hell will break and real myhem will start.The margin in refineries have gone squeezed thats one eason for the RIL to go so low. Further,there is change in their share holding pattern which shows lot of discomfort.Banks are not in comfort zone as high deliquency is expected in the quarters to come.

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1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

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In response to: Markets have bounced back by more than 30% from its lows and it is time to go short again. Start writing 3000 calls .

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

In response to: Markets have bounced back by more than 30% from its lows and it is time to go short again. Start writing 3000 calls .

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

The theory is very simple. Both are emerging market economies and both attracted FII money and now both are experienceing outflows of the same nature and proportion. And for the past 9 months we are following the same pattern of the Chinese markets in toto. The corrections and the bounce backs that we have witnessed in our markets are quite similar to the Chinese market and also we had the advantage that the Chinese market peaked 3 months prior to us. So we had been following them with a lag. I can candidly admit that this theory has been one of the major factors influencing our calls alongwith the other technical and macro factors. And our calls have now a proven track record.

Thanks

In response to: Markets have bounced back by more than 30% from its lows and it is time to go short again. Start writing 3000 calls .

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In response to: Cover the short positions as 2700 acting as a good support level.

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

In response to: Cover the short positions as 2700 acting as a good support level.

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

Hi Nitin, Thanks for the comment.

I also feel that the market will move in the range of 2700-3100 before taking the final plunge. Today's bounceback from 2700 also affirms our view. The closing near the highs of the day which was also the opening gives some hope for the bulls in the very near term.

In response to: Cover the short positions as 2700 acting as a good support level.

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

hi i feel that looks like a good strategy as the market still not looks very upbeat. i would however propose a few longs with 2700 as a strict stop loss. what do you guys feel

In response to: It is time to initiate some longs but very selective, buy nifty calls and square off the puts.

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In response to: It is time to initiate some longs but very selective, buy nifty calls and square off the puts.

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

Thanks Dinesh for your comments. I appreciate your sincere wishes

In response to: Buy back the calls written yesterday. Phenomenal returns in a day. Cover the shorts initiated yesterday

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

Appreciate the good work for noble cause to help the Investors

Good Wishes and fortune for all times to come

Rgds

Dinesh Nihalani

In response to: Cover the puts which we had recommended to write on Tuesday. Also buy the same puts and write calls .

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

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In response to: Cover the puts which we had recommended to write on Tuesday. Also buy the same puts and write calls .

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

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In response to: Cover the puts which we had recommended to write on Tuesday. Also buy the same puts and write calls .

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

In response to: We re-iterate our call of going short on the markets given by us on Friday. It is another opportunity for those who missed it on Friday

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

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In response to: We re-iterate our call of going short on the markets given by us on Friday. It is another opportunity for those who missed it on Friday

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

In response to: We re-iterate our call of going short on the markets given by us on Friday. It is another opportunity for those who missed it on Friday

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

Once again thanks for the encouraging words from you Mr. Gupta.

I am really touched and I would only like to mention that it is based on some indepth studies of the past market trends and the situations such as these in which we have been in the past many times and analysing these trends which I use to give such calls.

The whole intent behind the calls is to make money for our investors and more than that to also caution them so that they do not lose money on such euphoric days.

Thanks for your comments once again

In response to: We re-iterate our call of going short on the markets given by us on Friday. It is another opportunity for those who missed it on Friday

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

Mr. Kasat, it required quite a lot of courage, I would say to advise people to go short on day when most of the global markets were up atleast by around 5 %.

I was in fact quite shocked....well, it lasted only till 2.30 pm after which the markets actually went down.

Was this a conviction ? How could you against the entire world and yet prove to be right is what I find amazing. Day aftr day, your call is coming to be correct suggesting you have a Midas touch !! Touch wood :-)

Regards

Nawal Gupta

In response to: Add to your short positions. Write 3000 and above calls aggressively. Aslo buy 3000 and lower strike price puts. Limited upside for markets from current levels

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

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In response to: Add to your short positions. Write 3000 and above calls aggressively. Aslo buy 3000 and lower strike price puts. Limited upside for markets from current levels

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

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In response to: Add to your short positions. Write 3000 and above calls aggressively. Aslo buy 3000 and lower strike price puts. Limited upside for markets from current levels

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In response to: Add to your short positions. Write 3000 and above calls aggressively. Aslo buy 3000 and lower strike price puts. Limited upside for markets from current levels

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In response to: Add to your short positions. Write 3000 and above calls aggressively. Aslo buy 3000 and lower strike price puts. Limited upside for markets from current levels

1970-01-01T01:00:00Z

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